Africas Rising Exposure to China: How Large Are Spillovers Through Trade? Paulo Drummond

ISBN: 9781475546934

Published: December 17th 2013

ebook

24 pages


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Africas Rising Exposure to China: How Large Are Spillovers Through Trade?  by  Paulo Drummond

Africas Rising Exposure to China: How Large Are Spillovers Through Trade? by Paulo Drummond
December 17th 2013 | ebook | PDF, EPUB, FB2, DjVu, talking book, mp3, ZIP | 24 pages | ISBN: 9781475546934 | 8.69 Mb

The rapid growth in Chinas domestic investment in recent decades has generated a large appetite for global goods, including from sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). This paper estimates the impact of changes in Chinas investment growth on SSAs exports.MoreThe rapid growth in Chinas domestic investment in recent decades has generated a large appetite for global goods, including from sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). This paper estimates the impact of changes in Chinas investment growth on SSAs exports.

Although rising trading links with China have allowed African countries to diversify their export base across countries, away from advanced economies, they have also led SSA countries to become more susceptible to spillovers from China. Based on panel data analysis, a 1 percentage point increase (decline) in Chinas domestic investment growth is associated with an average 0.6 percentage point increase (decline) in SSA countries export growth. This impact is larger for resource-rich countries, especially oil exporters. These effects could be mitigated, however, to the extent that countries can reorient their exports.



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